Inter vs Firpo preview
In the match between Inter and Firpo, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter at 26%, a draw at 31%, and Firpo at 43%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, with a 13% chance. Inter's recent form includes 2 draws, 1 win, and 3 losses, while Firpo has been stronger with 3 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss.
The expected goals are 0.92 for Inter and 1.26 for Firpo, indicating Firpo's advantage. Over 2.5 goals stands at 37%, and both teams to score is at 44%. This suggests a low-scoring game is possible, but if Inter improves their attack, the outcome could differ.
Inter vs Firpo: model vs market
| Source | Inter | Draw | Firpo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 31% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 31% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Inter and Firpo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.18
- Attack rating (Inter / Firpo)
- 0.98 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Inter / Firpo)
- 0.79 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter vs Firpo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Firpo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter vs Firpo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter vs Firpo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 26% | 3.86 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Firpo | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| No | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter or draw) | 57% | 1.75 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Firpo) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win by 2+ | 20% | 5.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Inter and Firpo recent form
Inter
1W 3D 2L
Firpo
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-1
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 0.78
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
- They have won 6 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 17 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Firpo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-1
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 9 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 17 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter at home only, Firpo away only.
Inter vs Firpo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Inter 0 · draws 2 · Firpo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Firpo | 3-0 | Inter | Primera Division |
| 2026-03-29 | Inter | 0-3 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2026-02-01 | Firpo | 0-0 | Inter | Primera Division |
| 2025-10-05 | Inter | 1-1 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-03 | Firpo | 2-0 | Inter | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 19 fixtures
- Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Platense vs Cacahuatique 2026-11-07
- Alianza vs Águila — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa 2026-11-08
- FAS v Fuerte San Francisco — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Inter, previous: Inter vs Platense prediction
- Inter, next: FAS vs Inter: odds and pick
- Firpo, previous: Firpo – Alianza, 2026-11-05
- Firpo, next: Cacahuatique vs Firpo prediction