Platense vs Cacahuatique preview
In the upcoming match between Platense and Cacahuatique, the 1X2 probabilities show Platense at 48%, while Cacahuatique stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance. Platense has an expected goals figure of 1.46 compared to Cacahuatique's 0.94, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the recent form could influence the outcome. Platense has drawn twice and won three of their last six matches, while Cacahuatique has won two of their last six. With both teams to score at 48% and Over 2.5 goals at 43%, there is potential for surprises, especially given their balanced head-to-head record of 3 wins each and 3 draws in the last 9 encounters.
Platense vs Cacahuatique: model vs market
| Source | Platense | Draw | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Platense and Cacahuatique expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (Platense / Cacahuatique)
- 1.01 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Platense / Cacahuatique)
- 0.96 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Platense vs Cacahuatique score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Platense goals. Columns: Cacahuatique goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Platense vs Cacahuatique goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Platense vs Cacahuatique
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Cacahuatique | 23% | 4.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Platense or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Cacahuatique) | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | Platense win by 2+ | 25% | 4.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Platense and Cacahuatique recent form
Platense
3W 2D 1L
Cacahuatique
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Platense at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.11
- Goals against / match
- 1.22
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
- They have won 6 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 17 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Cacahuatique away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-3
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 2 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 17 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Platense at home only, Cacahuatique away only.
Platense vs Cacahuatique head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Platense 3 · draws 3 · Cacahuatique 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Cacahuatique | 1-2 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2026-04-05 | Cacahuatique | 1-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2026-02-08 | Platense | 0-1 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2025-10-19 | Cacahuatique | 1-3 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-17 | Platense | 1-1 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-20 | Platense | 2-0 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2025-02-23 | Cacahuatique | 1-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2024-11-22 | Platense | 1-2 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2024-09-14 | Cacahuatique | 2-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 19 fixtures
- Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Inter v Firpo — match page 2026-11-08
- Alianza vs Águila — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa 2026-11-08
- FAS v Fuerte San Francisco — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Platense, previous: Inter vs Platense prediction
- Platense, next: Isidro Metapán – Platense, 2026-11-11
- Cacahuatique, previous: Cacahuatique – Inca Aruba, 2026-10-31
- Cacahuatique, next: Cacahuatique vs Firpo prediction