Isidro Metapán vs Platense preview
Isidro Metapán faces Platense with both teams having a 35% chance to win according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 10% of the time in our predictions. However, the match could see more goals, as there's a 41% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score.
Recent form shows Isidro Metapán with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Platense has 3 wins in the same span. The head-to-head record is close, with Isidro Metapán winning 4 times and Platense winning 3 times in their last 10 encounters. With a confidence grade of C, the match could swing either way based on these statistics.
Isidro Metapán vs Platense: model vs market
| Source | Isidro Metapán | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Isidro Metapán and Platense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Isidro Metapán / Platense)
- 0.89 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Isidro Metapán / Platense)
- 0.90 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Isidro Metapán vs Platense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Isidro Metapán goals. Columns: Platense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Isidro Metapán vs Platense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Isidro Metapán vs Platense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 35% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Platense | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Isidro Metapán or draw) | 66% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Platense) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Isidro Metapán win by 2+ | 15% | 6.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Isidro Metapán and Platense recent form
Isidro Metapán
2W 2D 2L
Platense
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Isidro Metapán at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.88
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 9 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 18 matches.
Platense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 9
- They have won 6 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 17 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Isidro Metapán at home only, Platense away only.
Isidro Metapán vs Platense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Isidro Metapán 4 · draws 3 · Platense 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Platense | 1-2 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2026-04-19 | Isidro Metapán | 0-2 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2026-02-22 | Platense | 1-1 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-06 | Isidro Metapán | 0-0 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-09-03 | Platense | 3-0 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-06 | Isidro Metapán | 2-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-02-09 | Platense | 0-2 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2024-10-20 | Platense | 2-0 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2024-08-18 | Isidro Metapán | 1-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2024-04-28 | Isidro Metapán | 2-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 20 fixtures
- Cacahuatique vs Firpo — team news & stats 2026-11-10
- Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza — match page 2026-11-11
- FAS vs Inter — team news & stats 2026-11-12
Before and after this match
- Isidro Metapán, previous: Inca Aruba v Isidro Metapán analysis
- Platense, previous: Platense vs Cacahuatique: odds and pick