Inter vs Platense preview
In the match between Inter and Platense, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter at 42%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. Both teams to score is at 60%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 56%. Inter's expected goals are 1.59 compared to Platense's 1.33.
Inter's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Platense has 3 wins in their last 5. The head-to-head record indicates Inter has 1 win and 4 draws against Platense, who has not won any of their last 5 encounters. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the prediction. If Platense improves their form or if Inter's struggles continue, the expected outcomes could change.
Inter vs Platense: model vs market
| Source | Inter | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Inter and Platense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Inter / Platense)
- 1.09 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Inter / Platense)
- 0.89 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter vs Platense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Platense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter vs Platense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter vs Platense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | |
| Platense | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Platense) | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win by 2+ | 22% | 4.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Inter and Platense recent form
Inter
1W 3D 2L
Platense
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 5 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Platense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 8
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter at home only, Platense away only.
Inter vs Platense head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Inter 1 · draws 4 · Platense 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Platense | 0-3 | Inter | Primera Division |
| 2026-04-01 | Platense | 0-0 | Inter | Primera Division |
| 2026-02-05 | Inter | 0-0 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-10-12 | Platense | 2-2 | Inter | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-09 | Inter | 2-2 | Platense | Primera Division |
Before and after this match
- Inter, previous: Inca Aruba v Inter analysis
- Platense, previous: Platense vs Firpo: odds and pick