Firpo vs FAS preview
In the Primera Division match between Firpo and FAS, the 1X2 probabilities show Firpo at 51%, while FAS is at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Firpo has an expected goals figure of 1.63 compared to FAS's 1.00, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
However, the recent form of both teams may influence the outcome. Firpo has a record of D-W-W-D-W-W, while FAS has L-D-L-W-W-D. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 52%, which suggests that FAS could find the net despite their lower expected goals. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Firpo vs FAS: model vs market
| Source | Firpo | Draw | FAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Firpo and FAS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.63
- Attack rating (Firpo / FAS)
- 1.31 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Firpo / FAS)
- 0.71 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Firpo vs FAS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Firpo goals. Columns: FAS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Firpo vs FAS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Firpo vs FAS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| FAS | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Firpo or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or FAS) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win by 2+ | 28% | 3.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Firpo and FAS recent form
Firpo
4W 2D 0L
FAS
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Firpo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-1
- Win rate
- 78%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 9
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 15 matches.
FAS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-3
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
- They have won 9 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Firpo at home only, FAS away only.
Firpo vs FAS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Firpo 4 · draws 2 · FAS 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FAS | 3-1 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2026-04-26 | Firpo | 1-1 | FAS | Primera Division |
| 2026-03-01 | FAS | 2-0 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-09 | Firpo | 3-1 | FAS | Primera Division |
| 2025-09-08 | FAS | 2-3 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-27 | Firpo | 1-2 | FAS | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-30 | FAS | 0-3 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2024-11-30 | Firpo | 1-1 | FAS | Primera Division |
| 2024-09-22 | FAS | 4-1 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2024-03-31 | FAS | 0-4 | Firpo | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
- Inter vs Platense — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba 2026-10-31
- Isidro Metapán v Municipal Limeño — match page 2026-11-01
- Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Atletico Balboa vs Alianza 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Firpo, previous: Platense vs Firpo: odds and pick
- FAS, previous: Águila v FAS analysis