Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño preview
In the Primera Division fixture, Isidro Metapán has a 40% chance to win against Municipal Limeño, who has a 33% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Isidro Metapán's expected goals stand at 1.52, while Municipal Limeño's is slightly lower at 1.38.
Both teams have shown mixed form recently, with Isidro Metapán winning 3 of their last 6 matches and Municipal Limeño losing 5 of their last 6. The model suggests a 55% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score. However, if Municipal Limeño improves their performance, it could impact the expected outcomes.
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño: model vs market
| Source | Isidro Metapán | Draw | Municipal Limeño |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Isidro Metapán and Municipal Limeño expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.89
- Attack rating (Isidro Metapán / Municipal Limeño)
- 0.88 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Isidro Metapán / Municipal Limeño)
- 0.89 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Isidro Metapán goals. Columns: Municipal Limeño goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 40% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Municipal Limeño | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| No | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Isidro Metapán or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Municipal Limeño) | 60% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Isidro Metapán win by 2+ | 20% | 5.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Isidro Metapán and Municipal Limeño recent form
Isidro Metapán
3W 1D 2L
Municipal Limeño
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Isidro Metapán at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-1
- Win rate
- 86%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 9 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 16 matches.
Municipal Limeño away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-5
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.56
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
- They have won 6 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Isidro Metapán at home only, Municipal Limeño away only.
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Isidro Metapán 3 · draws 3 · Municipal Limeño 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Municipal Limeño | 3-1 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2026-03-22 | Isidro Metapán | 1-0 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2026-01-25 | Municipal Limeño | 0-0 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2025-09-28 | Isidro Metapán | 3-2 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-28 | Municipal Limeño | 1-2 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-11 | Isidro Metapán | 1-2 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-08 | Municipal Limeño | 2-1 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-27 | Isidro Metapán | 0-0 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-31 | Municipal Limeño | 0-0 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2024-10-27 | Isidro Metapán | 0-3 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
- Inter vs Platense — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba 2026-10-31
- Fuerte San Francisco vs Águila — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Atletico Balboa vs Alianza 2026-11-01
- Firpo v FAS — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Isidro Metapán, previous: Alianza – Isidro Metapán, 2026-10-24
- Municipal Limeño, previous: Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique prediction