Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa preview
In the fixture between Municipal Limeño and Atletico Balboa, the 1X2 probabilities show Municipal Limeño at 42%, while Atletico Balboa sits at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. The expected goals are 1.68 for Municipal Limeño and 1.45 for Atletico Balboa, indicating a close contest.
The model also suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 63%. However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Municipal Limeño has drawn twice and won once in their last six matches, while Atletico Balboa has won twice and drawn once in the same period. This inconsistency may affect the final result.
Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa: model vs market
| Source | Municipal Limeño | Draw | Atletico Balboa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Municipal Limeño and Atletico Balboa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (Municipal Limeño / Atletico Balboa)
- 1.15 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Municipal Limeño / Atletico Balboa)
- 1.16 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Municipal Limeño goals. Columns: Atletico Balboa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Atletico Balboa | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Municipal Limeño or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Atletico Balboa) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal Limeño win by 2+ | 23% | 4.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Municipal Limeño and Atletico Balboa recent form
Municipal Limeño
1W 3D 2L
Atletico Balboa
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Municipal Limeño at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-3
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
- They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Atletico Balboa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-5
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 1.44
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 9
- They have won 4 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 17 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Municipal Limeño at home only, Atletico Balboa away only.
Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Municipal Limeño 1 · draws 0 · Atletico Balboa 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Atletico Balboa | 0-2 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 19 fixtures
- Inca Aruba vs Isidro Metapán — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Platense vs Cacahuatique 2026-11-07
- Inter v Firpo — match page 2026-11-08
- Alianza vs Águila — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- FAS v Fuerte San Francisco — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Municipal Limeño, previous: Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco: odds and pick
- Atletico Balboa, previous: Atletico Balboa vs Alianza prediction