Burton Albion vs Huddersfield: model vs market
| Source | Burton Albion | Draw | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Published | 28% | 26% | 47% |
| Edge | +12% | +2% | -14% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Burton Albion vs Huddersfield odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Huddersfield, 13 snapshots since 2026-09-27.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 3.89 | 3.80 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.75 | +0.05 |
| Huddersfield | 1.83 | 1.86 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Burton Albion and Huddersfield expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.88
- Attack rating (Burton Albion / Huddersfield)
- 1.06 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Burton Albion / Huddersfield)
- 1.04 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Burton Albion vs Huddersfield score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Burton Albion goals. Columns: Huddersfield goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Burton Albion vs Huddersfield goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Burton Albion vs Huddersfield
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burton Albion | 28% | 3.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Huddersfield | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| No | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Burton Albion or draw) | 53% | 1.88 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Huddersfield) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Huddersfield win by 2+ | 17% | 5.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Burton Albion and Huddersfield recent form
Burton Albion
2W 2D 2L
Huddersfield
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Burton Albion at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Huddersfield away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Burton Albion at home only, Huddersfield away only.
Burton Albion vs Huddersfield head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Burton Albion 3 · draws 2 · Huddersfield 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Burton Albion | 3-1 | Huddersfield | League One |
| 2025-09-20 | Huddersfield | 0-0 | Burton Albion | League One |
| 2025-04-12 | Burton Albion | 3-0 | Huddersfield | League One |
| 2024-12-29 | Huddersfield | 1-1 | Burton Albion | League One |
| 2017-04-01 | Huddersfield | 0-1 | Burton Albion | Championship |
| 2016-12-13 | Burton Albion | 0-1 | Huddersfield | Championship |
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