Oxford United vs Bradford preview
In the League One fixture between Oxford United and Bradford, the 1X2 probabilities show Oxford United at 34%, draw at 31%, and Bradford at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a 14% chance.
Both teams to score stands at 33%, while Over 2.5 goals is only at 23%. Oxford United's expected goals are 0.85, slightly higher than Bradford's 0.81. The recent form indicates Oxford United has won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Bradford has also shown strength with 4 wins in their last 5. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Oxford United vs Bradford: model vs market
| Source | Oxford United | Draw | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 37% | 30% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Published | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| Edge | -2% | +8% | -6% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Oxford United vs Bradford odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bradford, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 2.70 | 2.70 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.22 | 3.21 | -0.01 |
| Bradford | 2.55 | 2.53 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Oxford United and Bradford expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.66
- Attack rating (Oxford United / Bradford)
- 1.22 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Oxford United / Bradford)
- 0.87 / 0.47
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Oxford United vs Bradford score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Oxford United goals. Columns: Bradford goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Oxford United vs Bradford goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 20%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Oxford United vs Bradford
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 34% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Bradford | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23% | 4.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.01 |
| No | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Oxford United or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Bradford) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win by 2+ | 10% | 9.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Oxford United and Bradford recent form
Oxford United
4W 2D 0L
Bradford
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Oxford United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bradford away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Oxford United at home only, Bradford away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient 2026-10-24
- AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe — match page 2026-10-24
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday 2026-10-24
- Blackpool v Mansfield Town — match page 2026-10-24
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Cambridge United vs Plymouth 2026-10-24
- Notts County v Stockport County — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Oxford United, previous: Oxford United v Wigan analysis
- Oxford United, next: Oxford United – Stockport County, 2026-10-27
- Bradford, previous: Burton Albion vs Bradford prediction
- Bradford, next: Bradford vs Peterborough prediction