Bradford vs Peterborough Prediction & Betting Tips 27/10/2026

Bradford vs Peterborough preview

In the League Cup fixture between Bradford and Peterborough, the 1X2 probabilities show Bradford at 49%, draw at 28%, and Peterborough at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% chance according to our model. Bradford's expected goals stand at 1.12, while Peterborough's is lower at 0.73.

Bradford's recent form is strong, with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Peterborough has struggled, recording only 1 win in their last 6. This could affect the outcome. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 28%, and both teams to score is at 36%, indicating a potentially low-scoring match.

Bradford vs Peterborough: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Bradford	Draw	Peterborough
Model	43%	34%	23%
Market	50%	26%	23%
Published	49%	28%	23%
Edge	-7%	+8%	-1%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.73.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded 2026-10-14 — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.

Bradford vs Peterborough odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bradford, 54 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

Opened 1.83Now 1.83 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Bradford	1.83	1.83	+0.00
Draw	3.50	3.50	+0.00
Peterborough	4.00	4.00	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Bradford and Peterborough expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.12Bradford

0.73Peterborough

Total expected goals: 1.84
Attack rating (Bradford / Peterborough): 0.75 / 0.91
Defence rating (Bradford / Peterborough): 0.53 / 1.06

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bradford vs Peterborough score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 17.1% 10.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 1 16.4% 14.1% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 2 9.8% 7.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 3 3.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Bradford goals. Columns: Peterborough goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bradford vs Peterborough goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 83%

Over 1.5 56%

Over 2.5 28%

Over 3.5 12%

Both teams to score: 36%
No goals (0–0): 17%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bradford vs Peterborough

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Bradford	49%	2.05
	Draw	28%	3.53
	Peterborough	23%	4.36
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	28%	3.56
	Under 2.5	72%	1.39
Both teams to score	Yes	36%	2.77
	No	64%	1.56
Double chance	1X (Bradford or draw)	77%	1.30
	12 (either side)	72%	1.40
	X2 (draw or Peterborough)	51%	1.95
Handicap -1	Bradford win by 2+	19%	5.33
	Push (exactly one goal)	25%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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