Why this pick: Manchester City vs Brighton
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Manchester City 10, Brighton 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
Manchester CityBrighton
1.91
xG per 90
2.19
1.91
npxG per 90
2.10
11.3
PPDA
6.5
10.2
Deep completions per 90
7.7
1.68
xPTS per 90
1.83
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Manchester City and Brighton recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Manchester City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 5.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
Brighton away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Manchester City at home only, Brighton away only.
Manchester City vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Manchester City 2 · draws 2 · Brighton 2.
33%
33%
34%
Manchester CityDrawsBrighton
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Manchester City | 1-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton | 2-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2025-03-15 | Manchester City | 2-2 | Brighton | Premier League |
| 2024-11-09 | Brighton | 2-1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-04-25 | Brighton | 0-4 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2023-10-21 | Manchester City | 2-1 | Brighton | Premier League |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
- Bradford v Peterborough — match page 2026-10-27
- Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal 2026-10-27
- Bournemouth v Aston Villa — match page 2026-10-28
- Fulham vs Crystal Palace — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Sunderland vs Brentford — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Liverpool vs Chelsea 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Manchester City, previous: Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC prediction
- Brighton, previous: FK Jablonec vs Brighton: odds and pick