Why this pick: Liverpool vs Chelsea
Model inputs: per-match averages over each side's last 10 played matches (Liverpool 10, Chelsea 10). PPDA — lower means more intense pressing.
LiverpoolChelsea
1.69
xG per 90
1.44
1.60
npxG per 90
1.44
9.5
PPDA
13.8
6.0
Deep completions per 90
7.9
1.45
xPTS per 90
1.06
xG and npxG (non-penalty) per match, deep completions (passes received within ~20 yards of goal) and xPTS (expected points) from Understat match data. Bold marks the stronger side on each line.
Liverpool vs Chelsea odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Liverpool, 54 snapshots since 2026-09-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 2.25 | 2.25 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
| Chelsea | 2.89 | 2.89 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Liverpool and Chelsea recent form
Liverpool
4W 1D 1L
Chelsea
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Liverpool at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Liverpool at home only, Chelsea away only.
Liverpool vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Liverpool 2 · draws 2 · Chelsea 2.
33%
33%
34%
LiverpoolDrawsChelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2025-10-04 | Chelsea | 2-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2025-05-04 | Chelsea | 3-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2024-10-20 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2024-01-31 | Liverpool | 4-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| 2023-08-13 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
- Bradford v Peterborough — match page 2026-10-27
- Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal 2026-10-27
- Manchester City v Brighton — match page 2026-10-28
- Bournemouth v Aston Villa — match page 2026-10-28
- Fulham vs Crystal Palace — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Sunderland vs Brentford — team news & stats 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Liverpool, previous: Liverpool vs Villarreal: odds and pick
- Chelsea, previous: Everton – Chelsea, 2026-10-17