Blackpool vs Mansfield Town preview
In the upcoming match between Blackpool and Mansfield Town, the 1X2 probabilities show Blackpool at 36%, a draw at 26%, and Mansfield Town at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The expected goals for both teams are equal at 1.60, indicating a competitive matchup.
The model suggests a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. However, Blackpool's recent form of W-L-L-L-D-L could undermine their chances, while Mansfield Town's more stable form of W-D-W-D-D-L may enhance their performance. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: model vs market
| Source | Blackpool | Draw | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Published | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mansfield Town, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 2.42 | 2.63 | +0.21 |
| Draw | 3.53 | 3.50 | -0.03 |
| Mansfield Town | 2.62 | 2.43 | -0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Blackpool and Mansfield Town expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (Blackpool / Mansfield Town)
- 1.03 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Blackpool / Mansfield Town)
- 1.13 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Blackpool goals. Columns: Mansfield Town goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Mansfield Town | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Blackpool or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Mansfield Town) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mansfield Town win by 2+ | 19% | 5.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Blackpool and Mansfield Town recent form
Blackpool
1W 1D 4L
Mansfield Town
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Blackpool at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Mansfield Town away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Blackpool at home only, Mansfield Town away only.
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Blackpool 1 · draws 0 · Mansfield Town 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Blackpool | 1-0 | Mansfield Town | League One |
| 2025-08-19 | Mansfield Town | 2-0 | Blackpool | League One |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient 2026-10-24
- AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe — match page 2026-10-24
- Oxford United vs Bradford — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday 2026-10-24
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Cambridge United vs Plymouth 2026-10-24
- Notts County v Stockport County — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Blackpool, previous: Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction
- Blackpool, next: AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool: odds and pick
- Mansfield Town, previous: AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield Town, 2026-10-20
- Mansfield Town, next: Mansfield Town v Macclesfield analysis