Boulay vs Sochaux preview
In the Coupe de France match between Boulay and Sochaux, the 1X2 probabilities show Boulay at 21%, a draw at 26%, and Sochaux leading at 53%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% chance. Sochaux's recent form includes 3 losses, 2 draws, and 1 win, while Boulay has lost their last match.
The expected goals indicate Boulay at 0.99 and Sochaux at 1.69. There is a 50% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance for both teams to score. Factors such as Boulay's recent loss and Sochaux's struggle to secure wins could influence the outcome, making the predictions less certain.
Boulay vs Sochaux: model vs market
| Source | Boulay | Draw | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 26% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 21% | 26% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Boulay and Sochaux expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (Boulay / Sochaux)
- 0.83 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Boulay / Sochaux)
- 1.15 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Boulay vs Sochaux score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Boulay goals. Columns: Sochaux goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Boulay vs Sochaux goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Boulay vs Sochaux
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boulay | 21% | 4.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Sochaux | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Boulay or draw) | 47% | 2.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Sochaux) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sochaux win by 2+ | 29% | 3.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Boulay and Sochaux recent form
Boulay
0W 0D 1L
Sochaux
1W 2D 3L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Sochaux, previous: Nancy v Sochaux analysis