Chambéry vs Grenoble preview
In the Coupe de France match between Chambéry and Grenoble, the 1X2 probabilities show Chambéry at 32%, a draw at 30%, and Grenoble at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 10% chance.
Chambéry's expected goals stand at 1.15, while Grenoble's are slightly higher at 1.26. Both teams to score has a 50% probability, and there is a 43% chance of Over 2.5 goals. Recent form indicates Chambéry has one win and one loss, while Grenoble has four losses, one draw, and one win. These factors could influence the outcome, especially if Chambéry's form improves or if Grenoble can turn around their recent struggles.
Chambéry vs Grenoble: model vs market
| Source | Chambéry | Draw | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chambéry and Grenoble expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (Chambéry / Grenoble)
- 0.89 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Chambéry / Grenoble)
- 0.99 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chambéry vs Grenoble score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chambéry goals. Columns: Grenoble goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chambéry vs Grenoble goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chambéry vs Grenoble
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chambéry | 32% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Grenoble | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chambéry or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Grenoble) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Grenoble win by 2+ | 17% | 5.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chambéry and Grenoble recent form
Chambéry
1W 0D 1L
Grenoble
1W 1D 4L
Last 2 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Grenoble, previous: Grenoble – Reims, 2026-11-06