Versailles vs Rodez preview
In the Coupe de France match between Versailles and Rodez, the 1X2 probabilities show Rodez at 44%, while Versailles sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects Rodez's higher expected goals of 1.76 compared to Versailles' 1.44.
Both teams to score stands at 64%, indicating a strong chance for both sides to find the net. However, Versailles' recent form shows a mixed result with a loss followed by a win, while Rodez has struggled with four losses in their last six matches. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making the match less predictable.
Versailles vs Rodez: model vs market
| Source | Versailles | Draw | Rodez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 30% | 25% | 44% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Versailles and Rodez expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (Versailles / Rodez)
- 1.07 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Versailles / Rodez)
- 0.99 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Versailles vs Rodez score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Versailles goals. Columns: Rodez goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Versailles vs Rodez goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Versailles vs Rodez
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Versailles | 30% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Rodez | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Versailles or draw) | 56% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Rodez) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rodez win by 2+ | 24% | 4.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Versailles and Rodez recent form
Versailles
1W 0D 1L
Rodez
2W 0D 4L
Last 2 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Rodez, previous: Clermont Foot vs Rodez prediction