Bressuire vs Challans preview
In the Coupe de France match between Bressuire and Challans, the 1X2 probabilities show Bressuire at 23%, a draw at 27%, and Challans leading at 50%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Challans' expected goals of 1.68 compared to Bressuire's 1.07.
Both teams to score stands at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals is projected at 52%. However, recent form shows both teams lost their latest matches, which could impact their performance. The confidence grade is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Bressuire vs Challans: model vs market
| Source | Bressuire | Draw | Challans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.07.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bressuire and Challans expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.75
- Attack rating (Bressuire / Challans)
- 0.83 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Bressuire / Challans)
- 1.04 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bressuire vs Challans score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bressuire goals. Columns: Challans goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bressuire vs Challans goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bressuire vs Challans
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bressuire | 23% | 4.34 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Challans | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bressuire or draw) | 50% | 2.02 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Challans) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Challans win by 2+ | 28% | 3.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bressuire and Challans recent form
Bressuire
0W 0D 1L
Challans
0W 0D 1L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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