Brive vs Angoulême Prediction & Betting Tips 14/11/2026

Brive vs Angoulême preview

In the Coupe de France match between Brive and Angoulême, the 1X2 probabilities show Angoulême at 47%, while Brive sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Angoulême's recent form includes two losses followed by a win, which could influence their performance.

The expected goals indicate Brive at 1.16 and Angoulême at 1.63. There's a 53% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance for both teams to score. If Brive can improve their form or if Angoulême fails to capitalize on their chances, the predictions may not hold true.

Brive vs Angoulême: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Brive	Draw	Angoulême
Model	26%	27%	47%
Market	—	—	—
Published	26%	27%	47%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.16.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Brive and Angoulême expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.16Brive

1.63Angoulême

Total expected goals: 2.79
Attack rating (Brive / Angoulême): 1.00 / 0.85
Defence rating (Brive / Angoulême): 1.00 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Brive vs Angoulême score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.3% 8.9% 8.2% 4.4% 2.6% 1 6.0% 12.8% 9.5% 5.1% 3.0% 2 4.1% 6.7% 5.5% 3.0% 1.7% 3 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7% 4+ 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Rows: Brive goals. Columns: Angoulême goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Brive vs Angoulême goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%

Over 1.5 78%

Over 2.5 53%

Over 3.5 30%

Both teams to score: 56%
No goals (0–0): 7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Brive vs Angoulême

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Brive	26%	3.86
	Draw	27%	3.72
	Angoulême	47%	2.12
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53%	1.90
	Under 2.5	47%	2.11
Both teams to score	Yes	56%	1.78
	No	44%	2.29
Double chance	1X (Brive or draw)	53%	1.89
	12 (either side)	73%	1.37
	X2 (draw or Angoulême)	74%	1.35
Handicap -1	Angoulême win by 2+	25%	3.94
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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