Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC preview
In the Coupe de France fixture between Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Chambly Thelle FC at 55%, while Caen PTT sits at 20%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-2, which has a 10% chance of occurring.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 57%. However, Caen PTT's expected goals are 1.08, significantly lower than Chambly Thelle FC's 1.89. If Caen PTT can improve their attacking performance, it could challenge the expected outcome.
Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC: model vs market
| Source | Caen PTT | Draw | Chambly Thelle FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 20% | 24% | 55% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.08.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.97
- Attack rating (Caen PTT / Chambly Thelle FC)
- 0.94 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Caen PTT / Chambly Thelle FC)
- 1.04 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Caen PTT goals. Columns: Chambly Thelle FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caen PTT | 20% | 4.90 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Chambly Thelle FC | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Caen PTT or draw) | 45% | 2.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Chambly Thelle FC) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chambly Thelle FC win by 2+ | 33% | 3.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC recent form
Caen PTT
0W 0D 1L
Chambly Thelle FC
0W 1D 0L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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