Croix Football IC vs Thaon preview
In the Coupe de France match between Croix Football IC and Thaon, the 1X2 probabilities show Croix Football IC at 8%, a draw at 14%, and Thaon at 77%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 0-2, with an expected goals tally of 0.90 for Croix Football IC and 2.89 for Thaon.
The high probability of Over 2.5 goals at 73% suggests a game with multiple goals could occur. However, Croix Football IC's recent form, with one win in their last three matches, may impact their performance against a strong Thaon side, which has won three of its last four games.
Croix Football IC vs Thaon: model vs market
| Source | Croix Football IC | Draw | Thaon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Croix Football IC and Thaon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.79
- Attack rating (Croix Football IC / Thaon)
- 0.93 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Croix Football IC / Thaon)
- 1.20 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Croix Football IC vs Thaon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Croix Football IC goals. Columns: Thaon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Croix Football IC vs Thaon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Croix Football IC vs Thaon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Croix Football IC | 8% | 12.20 |
| Draw | 14% | 6.91 | |
| Thaon | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Croix Football IC or draw) | 23% | 4.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or Thaon) | 92% | 1.09 | |
| Handicap -1 | Thaon win by 2+ | 58% | 1.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Croix Football IC and Thaon recent form
Croix Football IC
1W 1D 1L
Thaon
3W 1D 0L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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