Dunkerque vs Quevilly preview
In the Coupe de France fixture between Dunkerque and Quevilly, the 1X2 probabilities show Quevilly at 60%, Dunkerque at 17%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a probability of 11%. Quevilly has a higher expected goals figure at 1.93 compared to Dunkerque's 0.94, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
Both teams to score stands at 53%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 55%. Dunkerque's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Quevilly has 2 wins as well. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Factors like defensive errors or unexpected performances could lead to different results.
Dunkerque vs Quevilly: model vs market
| Source | Dunkerque | Draw | Quevilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 24% | 60% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 17% | 24% | 60% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.94.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dunkerque and Quevilly expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Dunkerque / Quevilly)
- 0.83 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Dunkerque / Quevilly)
- 0.98 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunkerque vs Quevilly score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunkerque goals. Columns: Quevilly goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunkerque vs Quevilly goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunkerque vs Quevilly
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunkerque | 17% | 5.99 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.22 | |
| Quevilly | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunkerque or draw) | 40% | 2.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Quevilly) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Quevilly win by 2+ | 36% | 2.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Dunkerque and Quevilly recent form
Dunkerque
2W 1D 3L
Quevilly
2W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Châteaubriant vs Horizon Patho — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Tourcoing vs Reims — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Lourdes v PAU — match page 2026-11-14
- Balagne vs Montpellier — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Saint-Renan vs Laval 2026-11-14
Before and after this match
- Dunkerque, previous: Dunkerque v Guingamp analysis