Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93 preview
In the Coupe de France fixture between Gobelins and RED Star FC 93, the model gives RED Star FC 93 a 45% chance to win, compared to Gobelins' 26% and a 28% chance for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.09 for Gobelins and 1.49 for RED Star FC 93.
Both teams to score stands at 53%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 48%. Gobelins' recent form shows a draw, while RED Star FC 93 has won two of their last three matches. A poor performance from RED Star FC 93 could lead to a different outcome than expected.
Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93: model vs market
| Source | Gobelins | Draw | RED Star FC 93 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 28% | 45% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Gobelins and RED Star FC 93 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Gobelins / RED Star FC 93)
- 0.83 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Gobelins / RED Star FC 93)
- 0.83 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gobelins goals. Columns: RED Star FC 93 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gobelins | 26% | 3.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 | |
| RED Star FC 93 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gobelins or draw) | 55% | 1.83 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or RED Star FC 93) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | RED Star FC 93 win by 2+ | 23% | 4.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gobelins and RED Star FC 93 recent form
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- RED Star FC 93, previous: Dijon vs RED Star FC 93: odds and pick

