Lannion vs Guingamp Prediction & Betting Tips 14/11/2026

Lannion vs Guingamp preview

In the Coupe de France fixture between Lannion and Guingamp, the 1X2 probabilities show Guingamp at 53%, compared to Lannion's 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance of occurring. Guingamp's recent form includes two wins followed by three losses, while Lannion's form is not available.

The model indicates a 55% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance for both teams to score. Lannion has expected goals of 1.07, while Guingamp has 1.80. This could change if Lannion performs better than expected or if Guingamp underperforms.

Lannion vs Guingamp: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Lannion	Draw	Guingamp
Model	21%	25%	53%
Market	—	—	—
Published	21%	25%	53%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.07.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Lannion and Guingamp expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.07Lannion

1.80Guingamp

Total expected goals: 2.87
Attack rating (Lannion / Guingamp): 1.00 / 0.93
Defence rating (Lannion / Guingamp): 1.00 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lannion vs Guingamp score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.8% 9.1% 9.2% 5.5% 3.7% 1 5.0% 12.0% 9.8% 5.9% 4.0% 2 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 2.1% 3 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.8% 4+ 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%

Rows: Lannion goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lannion vs Guingamp goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%

Over 1.5 79%

Over 2.5 55%

Over 3.5 32%

Both teams to score: 56%
No goals (0–0): 7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lannion vs Guingamp

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Lannion	21%	4.70
	Draw	25%	3.95
	Guingamp	53%	1.87
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55%	1.83
	Under 2.5	45%	2.20
Both teams to score	Yes	56%	1.79
	No	44%	2.27
Double chance	1X (Lannion or draw)	47%	2.15
	12 (either side)	75%	1.34
	X2 (draw or Guingamp)	79%	1.27
Handicap -1	Guingamp win by 2+	31%	3.26
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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