Le Touquet vs Avranches preview
In the Coupe de France match between Le Touquet and Avranches, the 1X2 probabilities show Avranches at 37%, Le Touquet at 33%, and a draw at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 10% chance.
Le Touquet's expected goals stand at 1.18, while Avranches has slightly higher expectations at 1.27. The model suggests a 51% chance for both teams to score and a 44% chance for Over 2.5 goals. However, recent form may impact these predictions, as Le Touquet has one loss and one draw in their last two matches, while Avranches has four consecutive draws and one loss.
Le Touquet vs Avranches: model vs market
| Source | Le Touquet | Draw | Avranches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Le Touquet and Avranches expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.44
- Attack rating (Le Touquet / Avranches)
- 0.80 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Le Touquet / Avranches)
- 0.90 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Le Touquet vs Avranches score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Le Touquet goals. Columns: Avranches goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Le Touquet vs Avranches goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Le Touquet vs Avranches
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Le Touquet | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Avranches | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Le Touquet or draw) | 63% | 1.59 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Avranches) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Avranches win by 2+ | 17% | 5.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Le Touquet and Avranches recent form
Le Touquet
0W 1D 1L
Avranches
0W 4D 1L
Last 2 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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