Lyon Duchere vs Feurs preview
Lyon Duchere faces Feurs with a 25% chance of winning compared to Feurs' 52%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects Feurs' expected goals of 2.10 against Lyon Duchere's 1.43. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 68%, indicating a high likelihood of an active match.
However, Lyon Duchere's recent form shows a mixed result with one loss, while Feurs is coming off a draw and a win. This could impact the match dynamics, potentially leading to a different outcome than predicted. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the forecast.
Lyon Duchere vs Feurs: model vs market
| Source | Lyon Duchere | Draw | Feurs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.43.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Lyon Duchere and Feurs expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.53
- Attack rating (Lyon Duchere / Feurs)
- 1.09 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Lyon Duchere / Feurs)
- 0.88 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lyon Duchere vs Feurs score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lyon Duchere goals. Columns: Feurs goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lyon Duchere vs Feurs goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lyon Duchere vs Feurs
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyon Duchere | 25% | 3.97 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.39 | |
| Feurs | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lyon Duchere or draw) | 48% | 2.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Feurs) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | Feurs win by 2+ | 32% | 3.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Lyon Duchere and Feurs recent form
Lyon Duchere
2W 0D 1L
Feurs
1W 1D 0L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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