Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes preview
In the Coupe de France match between Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes, the 1X2 probabilities show TA Rennes at 37% and Pontivy GSI at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance according to our model. The expected goals are close, with Pontivy GSI at 1.39 and TA Rennes at 1.43.
Both teams to score has a 58% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%. However, the recent form could influence the outcome, as Pontivy GSI has one win in their last three matches, while TA Rennes has drawn their last game. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes: model vs market
| Source | Pontivy GSI | Draw | TA Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Pontivy GSI / TA Rennes)
- 1.08 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Pontivy GSI / TA Rennes)
- 0.71 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pontivy GSI goals. Columns: TA Rennes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pontivy GSI | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| TA Rennes | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pontivy GSI or draw) | 63% | 1.59 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or TA Rennes) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | TA Rennes win by 2+ | 18% | 5.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes recent form
Pontivy GSI
2W 0D 1L
TA Rennes
0W 1D 0L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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