Riom vs Limonest Prediction & Betting Tips 15/11/2026

Riom vs Limonest preview

In the Coupe de France match between Riom and Limonest, the 1X2 probabilities show Limonest at 53%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2 (10%). The expected goals indicate Riom at 1.23 and Limonest at 1.93, suggesting Limonest may have the upper hand.

However, the confidence grade is C, which indicates uncertainty in the predictions. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 61%, meaning there’s potential for a high-scoring match, but unexpected performances could alter the outcome.

Riom vs Limonest: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Riom	Draw	Limonest
Model	23%	24%	53%
Market	—	—	—
Published	23%	24%	53%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Riom and Limonest expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.23Riom

1.93Limonest

Total expected goals: 3.15
Attack rating (Riom / Limonest): 1.00 / 1.00
Defence rating (Riom / Limonest): 1.00 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Riom vs Limonest score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.3% 7.2% 7.9% 5.1% 3.8% 1 4.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.2% 4.7% 2 3.2% 6.2% 6.0% 3.8% 2.9% 3 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2% 4+ 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5%

Rows: Riom goals. Columns: Limonest goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Riom vs Limonest goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 83%

Over 2.5 61%

Over 3.5 39%

Both teams to score: 61%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Riom vs Limonest

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Riom	23%	4.32
	Draw	24%	4.14
	Limonest	53%	1.90
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61%	1.64
	Under 2.5	39%	2.57
Both teams to score	Yes	61%	1.63
	No	39%	2.59
Double chance	1X (Riom or draw)	47%	2.11
	12 (either side)	76%	1.32
	X2 (draw or Limonest)	77%	1.30
Handicap -1	Limonest win by 2+	31%	3.22
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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