Rumilly Vallières vs Saint-Etienne preview
In the Coupe de France fixture, Rumilly Vallières faces Saint-Etienne with 18% chances of winning for Rumilly, 26% for a draw, and 56% for Saint-Etienne. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 12% probability.
Rumilly Vallières has an expected goals figure of 0.84, while Saint-Etienne has 1.67. The model suggests a 46% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. A surprising result could occur if Rumilly Vallières exceeds their expected goals significantly or if Saint-Etienne underperforms.
Rumilly Vallières vs Saint-Etienne: model vs market
| Source | Rumilly Vallières | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18% | 26% | 56% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 18% | 26% | 56% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Rumilly Vallières and Saint-Etienne expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.51
- Attack rating (Rumilly Vallières / Saint-Etienne)
- 0.90 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Rumilly Vallières / Saint-Etienne)
- 0.81 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rumilly Vallières vs Saint-Etienne score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rumilly Vallières goals. Columns: Saint-Etienne goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rumilly Vallières vs Saint-Etienne goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rumilly Vallières vs Saint-Etienne
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rumilly Vallières | 18% | 5.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 | |
| Saint-Etienne | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rumilly Vallières or draw) | 44% | 2.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Saint-Etienne) | 82% | 1.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rumilly Vallières and Saint-Etienne recent form
Rumilly Vallières
1W 1D 0L
Saint-Etienne
3W 1D 2L
Last 2 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Saint-Etienne, previous: Saint-Etienne vs Laval: odds and pick