Saint-Omer vs Vire Prediction & Betting Tips 14/11/2026

Saint-Omer vs Vire preview

In the Coupe de France fixture between Saint-Omer and Vire, the 1X2 probabilities show Vire at 52%, while Saint-Omer sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance according to our model. With expected goals of 1.15 for Saint-Omer and 1.81 for Vire, the data suggests Vire could secure a win.

The model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 58%. However, Saint-Omer's recent form shows a draw, which could impact their performance. Vire's lack of recent matches may also affect their readiness for this encounter.

Saint-Omer vs Vire: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Saint-Omer	Draw	Vire
Model	23%	25%	52%
Market	—	—	—
Published	23%	25%	52%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.15.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Saint-Omer and Vire expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.15Saint-Omer

1.81Vire

Total expected goals: 2.96
Attack rating (Saint-Omer / Vire): 0.94 / 1.00
Defence rating (Saint-Omer / Vire): 0.94 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Saint-Omer vs Vire score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.3% 8.3% 8.5% 5.1% 3.5% 1 4.9% 11.9% 9.8% 5.9% 4.0% 2 3.4% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 2.3% 3 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.9% 4+ 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%

Rows: Saint-Omer goals. Columns: Vire goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Saint-Omer vs Vire goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 81%

Over 2.5 57%

Over 3.5 34%

Both teams to score: 58%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Saint-Omer vs Vire

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Saint-Omer	23%	4.32
	Draw	25%	3.96
	Vire	52%	1.94
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57%	1.76
	Under 2.5	43%	2.32
Both teams to score	Yes	58%	1.72
	No	42%	2.40
Double chance	1X (Saint-Omer or draw)	48%	2.07
	12 (either side)	75%	1.34
	X2 (draw or Vire)	77%	1.30
Handicap -1	Vire win by 2+	30%	3.38
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer