Saint-Renan vs Laval preview
In the Coupe de France match between Saint-Renan and Laval, the 1X2 probabilities show Laval at 58% to win, while Saint-Renan has a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Laval's expected goals of 2.04 compared to Saint-Renan's 1.10.
However, Saint-Renan's recent form includes a loss, while Laval has mixed results with one win and four other matches without a win. This inconsistency could lead to a different outcome than expected, particularly in the Over 2.5 goals market, which stands at 61%, and both teams to score at 59%.
Saint-Renan vs Laval: model vs market
| Source | Saint-Renan | Draw | Laval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Saint-Renan and Laval expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.14
- Attack rating (Saint-Renan / Laval)
- 0.83 / 0.84
- Defence rating (Saint-Renan / Laval)
- 1.26 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Saint-Renan vs Laval score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Saint-Renan goals. Columns: Laval goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Saint-Renan vs Laval goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Saint-Renan vs Laval
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Renan | 19% | 5.30 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | |
| Laval | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Saint-Renan or draw) | 42% | 2.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Laval) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Laval win by 2+ | 36% | 2.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Saint-Renan and Laval recent form
Saint-Renan
0W 0D 1L
Laval
1W 2D 3L
Last 1 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Laval, previous: Saint-Etienne vs Laval: odds and pick