Seyssinet-Pariset vs Nimes Prediction & Betting Tips 15/11/2026

Seyssinet-Pariset vs Nimes preview

In the Coupe de France fixture between Seyssinet-Pariset and Nimes, the 1X2 probabilities show Nimes at 57%, while Seyssinet-Pariset stands at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance. Nimes has a significantly higher expected goals figure of 1.74 compared to Seyssinet-Pariset's 0.88, indicating a stronger attacking potential.

However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 49%, indicating a balanced possibility for goals. If Seyssinet-Pariset manages to improve their recent form, they could challenge Nimes more than expected.

Seyssinet-Pariset vs Nimes: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Seyssinet-Pariset	Draw	Nimes
Model	18%	26%	57%
Market	—	—	—
Published	18%	26%	57%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.88.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Seyssinet-Pariset and Nimes expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.88Seyssinet-Pariset

1.74Nimes

Total expected goals: 2.62
Attack rating (Seyssinet-Pariset / Nimes): 0.71 / 1.00
Defence rating (Seyssinet-Pariset / Nimes): 0.91 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Seyssinet-Pariset vs Nimes score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.4% 11.6% 11.1% 6.4% 4.1% 1 5.3% 12.2% 9.7% 5.6% 3.6% 2 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.6% 3 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 4+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Seyssinet-Pariset goals. Columns: Nimes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Seyssinet-Pariset vs Nimes goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 75%

Over 2.5 49%

Over 3.5 27%

Both teams to score: 49%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Seyssinet-Pariset vs Nimes

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Seyssinet-Pariset	18%	5.69
	Draw	26%	3.89
	Nimes	57%	1.76
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	49%	2.06
	Under 2.5	51%	1.95
Both teams to score	Yes	49%	2.03
	No	51%	1.97
Double chance	1X (Seyssinet-Pariset or draw)	43%	2.31
	12 (either side)	74%	1.35
	X2 (draw or Nimes)	82%	1.21
Handicap -1	Nimes win by 2+	33%	3.06
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer