Stade Béthunois vs Nancy preview
In the Coupe de France fixture between Stade Béthunois and Nancy, the 1X2 probabilities show Nancy at 67%, while Stade Béthunois is at just 11%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 13% chance according to our model. Nancy's expected goals stand at 2.00, significantly higher than Stade Béthunois's 0.71.
However, there are factors that could affect this outcome. Both teams to score has a 45% probability, indicating a chance for Stade Béthunois to find the net. Additionally, while Over 2.5 goals has a 51% likelihood, the recent form of Stade Béthunois shows four draws and a loss, which could impact their offensive performance.
Stade Béthunois vs Nancy: model vs market
| Source | Stade Béthunois | Draw | Nancy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11% | 22% | 67% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 11% | 22% | 67% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stade Béthunois and Nancy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.72
- Attack rating (Stade Béthunois / Nancy)
- 0.79 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Stade Béthunois / Nancy)
- 0.95 / 0.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stade Béthunois vs Nancy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stade Béthunois goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stade Béthunois vs Nancy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stade Béthunois vs Nancy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Béthunois | 11% | 8.80 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Nancy | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.22 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stade Béthunois or draw) | 33% | 3.01 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Nancy) | 89% | 1.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nancy win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stade Béthunois and Nancy recent form
Stade Béthunois
0W 3D 1L
Nancy
5W 0D 1L
Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Nancy, previous: Nancy v Sochaux analysis