Tourcoing vs Reims Prediction & Betting Tips 14/11/2026

Tourcoing vs Reims preview

In the Coupe de France match between Tourcoing and Reims, the 1X2 probabilities show Reims at 68% to win, compared to Tourcoing's 13%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.96 for Tourcoing and 2.35 for Reims.

Reims has shown solid recent form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. However, if Tourcoing can exceed their expected goals, it could disrupt the forecast. Additionally, factors such as home advantage or unexpected player performances could also influence the outcome, making the prediction less certain.

Tourcoing vs Reims: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Tourcoing	Draw	Reims
Model	13%	20%	68%
Market	—	—	—
Published	13%	20%	68%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.96.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Tourcoing and Reims expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.96Tourcoing

2.35Reims

Total expected goals: 3.31
Attack rating (Tourcoing / Reims): 1.00 / 1.22
Defence rating (Tourcoing / Reims): 1.00 / 0.78

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Tourcoing vs Reims score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.5% 7.8% 10.1% 7.9% 8.1% 1 2.7% 9.1% 9.7% 7.6% 7.7% 2 1.7% 3.9% 4.6% 3.6% 3.7% 3 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 4+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%

Rows: Tourcoing goals. Columns: Reims goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Tourcoing vs Reims goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 85%

Over 2.5 64%

Over 3.5 42%

Both teams to score: 57%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Tourcoing vs Reims

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Tourcoing	13%	7.75
	Draw	20%	5.12
	Reims	68%	1.48
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64%	1.56
	Under 2.5	36%	2.79
Both teams to score	Yes	57%	1.77
	No	43%	2.30
Double chance	1X (Tourcoing or draw)	32%	3.08
	12 (either side)	80%	1.24
	X2 (draw or Reims)	87%	1.15
Handicap -1	Reims win by 2+	46%	2.19
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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