Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot preview
In the Coupe de France fixture between Vendée Fontenay and Clermont Foot, the 1X2 probabilities show Clermont Foot at 48%, while Vendée Fontenay sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 11%.
Clermont Foot has struggled recently, recording four draws and two losses in their last six matches. Vendée Fontenay's recent form includes one win, one draw, and two losses. Although both teams to score is at 51%, the expected goals suggest a close match, with Vendée Fontenay at 1.01 and Clermont Foot at 1.52. This could lead to a lower-scoring game than anticipated.
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot: model vs market
| Source | Vendée Fontenay | Draw | Clermont Foot |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 28% | 48% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 24% | 28% | 48% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.01.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vendée Fontenay and Clermont Foot expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Vendée Fontenay / Clermont Foot)
- 0.91 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Vendée Fontenay / Clermont Foot)
- 1.08 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vendée Fontenay goals. Columns: Clermont Foot goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vendée Fontenay | 24% | 4.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Clermont Foot | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vendée Fontenay or draw) | 52% | 1.91 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Clermont Foot) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | Clermont Foot win by 2+ | 25% | 4.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vendée Fontenay and Clermont Foot recent form
Vendée Fontenay
1W 1D 2L
Clermont Foot
0W 4D 2L
Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Clermont Foot, previous: Clermont Foot vs Rodez prediction