Vitré vs Saint-Pierre Milizac preview
In the Coupe de France fixture between Vitré and Saint-Pierre Milizac, the 1X2 probabilities show Vitré at 23%, a draw at 29%, and Saint-Pierre Milizac at 48%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance according to our model.
Vitré's expected goals stand at 0.93, while Saint-Pierre Milizac has a higher figure of 1.46. Although both teams to score is at 48%, the lower expected goals for Vitré could lead to fewer chances. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the match outcome.
Vitré vs Saint-Pierre Milizac: model vs market
| Source | Vitré | Draw | Saint-Pierre Milizac |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 29% | 48% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 29% | 48% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.93.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vitré and Saint-Pierre Milizac expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.40
- Attack rating (Vitré / Saint-Pierre Milizac)
- 0.81 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Vitré / Saint-Pierre Milizac)
- 0.81 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vitré vs Saint-Pierre Milizac score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vitré goals. Columns: Saint-Pierre Milizac goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vitré vs Saint-Pierre Milizac goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vitré vs Saint-Pierre Milizac
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitré | 23% | 4.39 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Saint-Pierre Milizac | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.09 |
| No | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vitré or draw) | 52% | 1.93 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Saint-Pierre Milizac) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Pierre Milizac win by 2+ | 25% | 4.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Vitré and Saint-Pierre Milizac recent form
Vitré
0W 2D 0L
Saint-Pierre Milizac
0W 1D 0L
Last 2 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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