Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili preview
In the match between Odishi 1919 and Merani Martvili, the 1X2 probabilities show Odishi 1919 at 39%, a draw at 29%, and Merani Martvili at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance according to our model.
Both teams to score stands at 52%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 46%. Odishi 1919 has expected goals of 1.34, compared to Merani Martvili's 1.18. Recent form indicates Odishi 1919 has had mixed results with L-W-D-W-L-L, while Merani Martvili has been slightly stronger with W-L-L-W-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili: model vs market
| Source | Odishi 1919 | Draw | Merani Martvili |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Odishi 1919 and Merani Martvili expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Odishi 1919 / Merani Martvili)
- 0.74 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Odishi 1919 / Merani Martvili)
- 1.13 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Odishi 1919 goals. Columns: Merani Martvili goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odishi 1919 | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Merani Martvili | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| No | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Odishi 1919 or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Merani Martvili) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Odishi 1919 win by 2+ | 19% | 5.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Odishi 1919 and Merani Martvili recent form
Odishi 1919
2W 1D 3L
Merani Martvili
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Odishi 1919 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-3
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Merani Martvili away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-8
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Odishi 1919 at home only, Merani Martvili away only.
Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Odishi 1919 1 · draws 1 · Merani Martvili 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Merani Martvili | 0-0 | Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Odishi 1919 | 1-2 | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-03-11 | Merani Martvili | 2-3 | Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Gori vs Samtredia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Telavi v Kolkheti Poti — match page 2026-10-24
- Shturmi vs Sioni 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Odishi 1919, previous: Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919: odds and pick
- Merani Martvili, previous: Merani Martvili vs Shturmi prediction