Sioni vs Odishi 1919 preview
Sioni faces Odishi 1919 with a 39% chance of winning compared to 30% for Odishi 1919. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Sioni's expected goals stand at 1.28, while Odishi 1919 has 1.10.
Both teams to score has a 50% likelihood, and there is a 43% chance of Over 2.5 goals in the match. Sioni's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Odishi 1919 has 3 wins in their last 6. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome. A draw or an unexpected performance from either side could alter the expected results.
Sioni vs Odishi 1919: model vs market
| Source | Sioni | Draw | Odishi 1919 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 30% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sioni and Odishi 1919 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.38
- Attack rating (Sioni / Odishi 1919)
- 0.87 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Sioni / Odishi 1919)
- 1.17 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sioni vs Odishi 1919 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sioni goals. Columns: Odishi 1919 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sioni vs Odishi 1919 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sioni vs Odishi 1919
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sioni | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 | |
| Odishi 1919 | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| No | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sioni or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Odishi 1919) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sioni win by 2+ | 18% | 5.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sioni and Odishi 1919 recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sioni at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-3
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Odishi 1919 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-9
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 0.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sioni at home only, Odishi 1919 away only.
Sioni vs Odishi 1919 head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Sioni 2 · draws 1 · Odishi 1919 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Odishi 1919 | 0-1 | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Sioni | 1-0 | Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-03-15 | Odishi 1919 | 2-2 | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- Merani Martvili v Telavi — match page 2026-10-31
- Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji 2026-10-31
- Samtredia vs Shturmi — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Sioni, previous: Shturmi v Sioni analysis
- Odishi 1919, previous: Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili: odds and pick