Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia preview
In the match between Odishi 1919 and Samtredia, the 1X2 probabilities show Samtredia at 57%, compared to Odishi 1919 at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance. Odishi 1919 has an expected goals figure of 0.81, while Samtredia has 1.67, indicating a significant disparity in scoring potential.
While the model suggests a strong possibility for Samtredia to win, Odishi's recent form includes two draws and three wins, which could influence the outcome. Additionally, the chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 45% and both teams to score at 46%, suggesting that while goals are possible, they are not guaranteed.
Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia: model vs market
| Source | Odishi 1919 | Draw | Samtredia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 26% | 57% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 17% | 26% | 57% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.81.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Odishi 1919 and Samtredia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Odishi 1919 / Samtredia)
- 0.78 / 1.66
- Defence rating (Odishi 1919 / Samtredia)
- 0.94 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Odishi 1919 goals. Columns: Samtredia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odishi 1919 | 17% | 5.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Samtredia | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Odishi 1919 or draw) | 43% | 2.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Samtredia) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win by 2+ | 32% | 3.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Odishi 1919 and Samtredia recent form
Odishi 1919
3W 2D 1L
Samtredia
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Odishi 1919 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-6-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Samtredia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-10
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Odishi 1919 at home only, Samtredia away only.
Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Odishi 1919 0 · draws 1 · Samtredia 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Samtredia | 3-0 | Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Odishi 1919 | 1-1 | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Samtredia | 2-0 | Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Odishi 1919 | 0-3 | Samtredia | David Kipiani Cup |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Aragvi Dusheti v Kolkheti Poti — match page 2026-11-07
- Gareji vs Merani Martvili 2026-11-07
- Telavi v Sioni — match page 2026-11-07
- Shturmi vs Gori — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Odishi 1919, previous: Sioni vs Odishi 1919 prediction
- Samtredia, previous: Samtredia vs Shturmi prediction