Shturmi vs Gori preview
In the Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture between Shturmi and Gori, the 1X2 probabilities show Shturmi at 36%, Gori at 33%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 48%, indicating a close contest, while Over 2.5 goals has a 41% probability.
Shturmi's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Gori has only 2 wins in the same period. The expected goals are 1.19 for Shturmi and 1.13 for Gori, suggesting a tight match. However, the confidence grade is C, meaning the outcome could be uncertain, especially given their recent performances and head-to-head record, where Gori has 2 wins compared to Shturmi's 1.
Shturmi vs Gori: model vs market
| Source | Shturmi | Draw | Gori |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Shturmi and Gori expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.32
- Attack rating (Shturmi / Gori)
- 0.99 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Shturmi / Gori)
- 1.08 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Shturmi vs Gori score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Shturmi goals. Columns: Gori goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Shturmi vs Gori goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Shturmi vs Gori
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 36% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Gori | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.06 |
| No | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Shturmi or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Gori) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shturmi win by 2+ | 16% | 6.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Shturmi and Gori recent form
Shturmi
3W 1D 2L
Gori
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Shturmi at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-1-4
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 15
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
Gori away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-9
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Shturmi at home only, Gori away only.
Shturmi vs Gori head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Shturmi 1 · draws 2 · Gori 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gori | 3-1 | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Shturmi | 2-0 | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gori | 0-0 | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Shturmi | 2-2 | Gori | Liga 3 |
| 2025-05-08 | Gori | 2-1 | Shturmi | Liga 3 |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Aragvi Dusheti v Kolkheti Poti — match page 2026-11-07
- Gareji vs Merani Martvili 2026-11-07
- Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Telavi v Sioni — match page 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Shturmi, previous: Samtredia vs Shturmi prediction
- Gori, previous: Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti: odds and pick