Shturmi vs Sioni Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Shturmi vs Sioni preview

In the Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture between Shturmi and Sioni, the 1X2 probabilities show Shturmi at 59%, Sioni at 17%, and a draw at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Shturmi's expected goals of 1.96 compared to Sioni's 0.98.

Shturmi's recent form includes 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Sioni has struggled with 3 losses in their last 5. The model indicates a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood for both teams to score. However, if Sioni improves their scoring, it could challenge the expected outcomes.

Shturmi vs Sioni: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Shturmi	Draw	Sioni
Model	59%	23%	17%
Market	—	—	—
Published	59%	23%	17%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.98.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Shturmi and Sioni expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.96Shturmi

0.98Sioni

Total expected goals: 2.94
Attack rating (Shturmi / Sioni): 1.03 / 0.96
Defence rating (Shturmi / Sioni): 0.93 / 1.33

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Shturmi vs Sioni score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.3% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 1 9.4% 11.1% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5% 2 10.2% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5% 3 6.7% 6.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 5.1% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%

Rows: Shturmi goals. Columns: Sioni goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Shturmi vs Sioni goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 80%

Over 2.5 56%

Over 3.5 34%

Both teams to score: 55%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Shturmi vs Sioni

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Shturmi	59%	1.68
	Draw	23%	4.26
	Sioni	17%	5.82
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56%	1.77
	Under 2.5	44%	2.29
Both teams to score	Yes	55%	1.83
	No	45%	2.20
Double chance	1X (Shturmi or draw)	83%	1.21
	12 (either side)	77%	1.31
	X2 (draw or Sioni)	41%	2.46
Handicap -1	Shturmi win by 2+	36%	2.76
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Shturmi and Sioni recent form

Shturmi 4W 1D 1L

Sioni 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Shturmi at home

Record (W-D-L): 9-1-4
Win rate: 64%
Goals for / match: 1.21
Goals against / match: 0.71
Clean sheets: 8 of 14

They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.

Sioni away

Record (W-D-L): 2-4-8
Win rate: 14%
Goals for / match: 1.07
Goals against / match: 1.79
Clean sheets: 4 of 14

They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Shturmi at home only, Sioni away only.

Shturmi vs Sioni head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Shturmi 1 · draws 1 · Sioni 1.

33% 33% 34%

ShturmiDrawsSioni

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-08-15	Sioni	0-1	Shturmi	Erovnuli Liga 2
2026-05-10	Shturmi	0-2	Sioni	Erovnuli Liga 2
2026-03-11	Sioni	1-1	Shturmi	Erovnuli Liga 2

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

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Telavi v Kolkheti Poti — match page 2026-10-24

Before and after this match

Shturmi, previous: Merani Martvili vs Shturmi prediction
Sioni, previous: Sioni v Gori analysis

Prediction snapshot Shturmi to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Shturmi