1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 preview
1. FC Magdeburg faces Hannover 96 with model 1X2 probabilities showing 1. FC Magdeburg at 40%, Hannover 96 at 36%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each sit at 66%, indicating a strong potential for an open match.
1. FC Magdeburg's expected goals are 1.97, while Hannover 96's are lower at 1.42. Recent form shows 1. FC Magdeburg with three wins in their last five matches, while Hannover 96 has two wins in their last five. The confidence grade is C, suggesting that while the numbers favor 1. FC Magdeburg, the outcome could be affected by Hannover’s better head-to-head record, having won both previous encounters.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96: model vs market
| Source | 1. FC Magdeburg | Draw | Hannover 96 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 39% |
| Published | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| Edge | +13% | -1% | -13% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices 1. FC Magdeburg below the model: +13.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on 1. FC Magdeburg, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.55 | 2.55 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.80 | +0.00 |
| Hannover 96 | 2.34 | 2.34 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.40
- Attack rating (1. FC Magdeburg / Hannover 96)
- 1.25 / 1.33
- Defence rating (1. FC Magdeburg / Hannover 96)
- 0.80 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: 1. FC Magdeburg goals. Columns: Hannover 96 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 40% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Hannover 96 | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (1. FC Magdeburg or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Hannover 96) | 60% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Magdeburg win by 2+ | 29% | 3.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96 recent form
1. FC Magdeburg
4W 1D 1L
Hannover 96
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
1. FC Magdeburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Hannover 96 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: 1. FC Magdeburg at home only, Hannover 96 away only.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: 1. FC Magdeburg 0 · draws 0 · Hannover 96 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-2 | Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-23 | Hannover 96 | 3-1 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
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