FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern preview
FC Heidenheim hosts 1. FC Kaiserslautern in the 2. Bundesliga, with a 47% probability of a home win according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the 50% chance of Over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
FC Heidenheim's recent form shows they have drawn and won in their last three matches, while 1. FC Kaiserslautern comes in with a strong record of four wins in their last five games. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If FC Heidenheim's expected goals of 1.39 do not translate into actual goals, or if Kaiserslautern's recent form continues, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: model vs market
| Source | FC Heidenheim | Draw | 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Published | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Edge | -12% | +4% | +8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Heidenheim, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Heidenheim | 1.85 | 1.85 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.00 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (FC Heidenheim / 1. FC Kaiserslautern)
- 1.32 / 0.75
- Defence rating (FC Heidenheim / 1. FC Kaiserslautern)
- 1.27 / 0.64
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Heidenheim goals. Columns: 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Heidenheim | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Heidenheim or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Heidenheim win by 2+ | 18% | 5.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern recent form
FC Heidenheim
3W 1D 2L
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Heidenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
1. FC Kaiserslautern away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Heidenheim at home only, 1. FC Kaiserslautern away only.
FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Heidenheim 3 · draws 5 · 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-01 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2-2 | FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2022-09-18 | FC Heidenheim | 2-2 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2018-05-06 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1-0 | FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2017-12-01 | FC Heidenheim | 3-2 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2017-03-12 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1-1 | FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2016-09-24 | FC Heidenheim | 3-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2016-02-20 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2-2 | FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2015-08-28 | FC Heidenheim | 3-1 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2015-04-04 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 4-0 | FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2014-10-17 | FC Heidenheim | 1-1 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
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