Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Betting Tips 09/10/2026

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel preview

Eintracht Braunschweig hosts Holstein Kiel with a 39% chance for Kiel to win and a 36% chance for Braunschweig. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. Both teams have shown inconsistent form recently, with Braunschweig losing five of their last six matches and Kiel drawing three of their last five.

The match is expected to see Over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Expected goals suggest a close contest, with Braunschweig at 1.46 and Kiel at 1.55. The head-to-head record favors Kiel, who have won six of the last ten encounters. A draw is also a possibility, given the 26% chance.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Eintracht Braunschweig	Draw	Holstein Kiel
Model	35%	26%	39%
Market	36%	25%	39%
Published	36%	26%	39%
Edge	-1%	+1%	0%

Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Holstein Kiel, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.

Opened 2.40Now 2.40 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Eintracht Braunschweig	2.56	2.56	+0.00
Draw	3.65	3.65	+0.00
Holstein Kiel	2.40	2.40	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Eintracht Braunschweig and Holstein Kiel expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.46Eintracht Braunschweig

1.55Holstein Kiel

Total expected goals: 3.02
Attack rating (Eintracht Braunschweig / Holstein Kiel): 0.99 / 0.91
Defence rating (Eintracht Braunschweig / Holstein Kiel): 1.28 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 6.5% 5.9% 3.0% 1.7% 1 6.1% 12.2% 8.6% 4.5% 2.4% 2 5.3% 8.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.8% 3 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.9% 4+ 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%

Rows: Eintracht Braunschweig goals. Columns: Holstein Kiel goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 81%

Over 2.5 58%

Over 3.5 36%

Both teams to score: 62%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Eintracht Braunschweig	36%	2.79
	Draw	26%	3.90
	Holstein Kiel	39%	2.59
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.72
	Under 2.5	42%	2.38
Both teams to score	Yes	62%	1.62
	No	38%	2.61
Double chance	1X (Eintracht Braunschweig or draw)	61%	1.63
	12 (either side)	74%	1.34
	X2 (draw or Holstein Kiel)	64%	1.56
Handicap -1	Holstein Kiel win by 2+	20%	5.11
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Eintracht Braunschweig and Holstein Kiel recent form

Eintracht Braunschweig 0W 1D 5L

Holstein Kiel 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Eintracht Braunschweig at home

Record (W-D-L): 0-1-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 1.67
Goals against / match: 2.67
Clean sheets: 0 of 3

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.

Holstein Kiel away

Record (W-D-L): 0-1-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 0.67
Goals against / match: 1.67
Clean sheets: 0 of 3

They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: Eintracht Braunschweig at home only, Holstein Kiel away only.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Eintracht Braunschweig 1 · draws 3 · Holstein Kiel 6.

10% 30% 60%

Eintracht BraunschweigDrawsHolstein Kiel

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-05-02	Holstein Kiel	2-0	Eintracht Braunschweig	2. Bundesliga
2025-12-07	Eintracht Braunschweig	1-1	Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
2025-07-19	Eintracht Braunschweig	1-4	Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs
2025-03-20	Holstein Kiel	2-2	Eintracht Braunschweig	Friendlies Clubs
2024-01-19	Holstein Kiel	1-2	Eintracht Braunschweig	2. Bundesliga
2023-07-30	Eintracht Braunschweig	0-1	Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
2023-02-17	Eintracht Braunschweig	2-3	Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
2022-08-13	Holstein Kiel	3-0	Eintracht Braunschweig	2. Bundesliga
2021-01-30	Holstein Kiel	3-1	Eintracht Braunschweig	2. Bundesliga
2020-09-26	Eintracht Braunschweig	0-0	Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga

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Prediction snapshot Holstein Kiel to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Holstein Kiel