Levadiakos vs Kifisia preview
In the Greece Cup fixture between Levadiakos and Kifisia, the 1X2 probabilities show Kifisia at 46%, while Levadiakos sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 13% probability. Kifisia's expected goals are 1.35 compared to Levadiakos' 0.89, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
However, Levadiakos has a strong head-to-head record with 3 wins in the last 6 encounters against Kifisia, who has only 1 win. While both teams to score has a probability of 45%, the recent form shows Levadiakos struggling with 6 consecutive losses. This could affect the outcome, making the predicted scoreline less certain.
Levadiakos vs Kifisia: model vs market
| Source | Levadiakos | Draw | Kifisia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 30% | 46% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 24% | 30% | 46% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Levadiakos and Kifisia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (Levadiakos / Kifisia)
- 0.65 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Levadiakos / Kifisia)
- 1.11 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Levadiakos vs Kifisia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Levadiakos goals. Columns: Kifisia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Levadiakos vs Kifisia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Levadiakos vs Kifisia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levadiakos | 24% | 4.26 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Kifisia | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Levadiakos or draw) | 54% | 1.85 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Kifisia) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kifisia win by 2+ | 22% | 4.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Levadiakos and Kifisia recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Levadiakos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
Kifisia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Levadiakos at home only, Kifisia away only.
Levadiakos vs Kifisia head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Levadiakos 3 · draws 2 · Kifisia 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Kifisia | 0-0 | Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kifisia | 1-0 | Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Levadiakos | 2-0 | Kifisia | Greece Cup |
| 2025-08-25 | Levadiakos | 3-2 | Kifisia | Super League 1 |
| 2022-04-06 | Kifisia | 1-4 | Levadiakos | Super League 2 |
| 2022-02-09 | Levadiakos | 1-1 | Kifisia | Super League 2 |
Other Greek Cup - 4 fixtures
- Panserraikos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia 2026-10-27
- Nestos Chrisoupolis v Kalamata — match page 2026-10-28
- Marko vs Olympiakos Piraeus — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Panathinaikos v Aris Thessalonikis — match page 2026-10-28
- Larisa vs OFI 2026-10-28
- PAOK vs AEK Athens FC — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Volos NFC vs Atromitos 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Levadiakos, previous: Levadiakos vs Volos NFC prediction
- Kifisia, previous: Asteras Tripolis – Kifisia, 2026-10-27