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Greece Cup · Greek Cup - 4

Levadiakos vs Kifisia

· Levadia Stadium, Levadia

Alin prediction Kifisia to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
LevadiakosDrawKifisia

Levadiakos vs Kifisia preview

In the Greece Cup fixture between Levadiakos and Kifisia, the 1X2 probabilities show Kifisia at 46%, while Levadiakos sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 13% probability. Kifisia's expected goals are 1.35 compared to Levadiakos' 0.89, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.

However, Levadiakos has a strong head-to-head record with 3 wins in the last 6 encounters against Kifisia, who has only 1 win. While both teams to score has a probability of 45%, the recent form shows Levadiakos struggling with 6 consecutive losses. This could affect the outcome, making the predicted scoreline less certain.

Levadiakos vs Kifisia: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLevadiakosDrawKifisia
Model24%30%46%
Market———
Published24%30%46%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.89.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Levadiakos and Kifisia expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.89Levadiakos
1.35Kifisia
Total expected goals
2.24
Attack rating (Levadiakos / Kifisia)
0.65 / 0.97
Defence rating (Levadiakos / Kifisia)
1.11 / 0.91

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Levadiakos vs Kifisia score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.0% 13.1% 9.7% 4.3% 2.0% 1 8.2% 14.1% 8.6% 3.9% 1.7% 2 4.2% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.8% 3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Levadiakos goals. Columns: Kifisia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Levadiakos vs Kifisia goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Levadiakos vs Kifisia

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Levadiakos24%4.26
Draw30%3.28
Kifisia46%2.17
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.58
Under 2.561%1.63
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.23
No55%1.81
Double chance1X (Levadiakos or draw)54%1.85
12 (either side)70%1.44
X2 (draw or Kifisia)76%1.31
Handicap -1Kifisia win by 2+22%4.46
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Levadiakos and Kifisia recent form

Levadiakos 0W 1D 5L
Kifisia 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Levadiakos at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

Kifisia away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
4.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Levadiakos at home only, Kifisia away only.

Levadiakos vs Kifisia head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Levadiakos 3 · draws 2 · Kifisia 1.

LevadiakosDrawsKifisia
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-13Kifisia0-0LevadiakosSuper League 1
2026-02-28Kifisia1-0LevadiakosSuper League 1
2026-01-14Levadiakos2-0KifisiaGreece Cup
2025-08-25Levadiakos3-2KifisiaSuper League 1
2022-04-06Kifisia1-4LevadiakosSuper League 2
2022-02-09Levadiakos1-1KifisiaSuper League 2

Other Greek Cup - 4 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Kifisia to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Kifisia