Updated

Super League 1 · Matchday 7

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

· Levadia Stadium, Levadia

Alin prediction Levadiakos to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
LevadiakosDrawVolos NFC
Best market odds
Levadiakos2.22 Draw3.40 Volos NFC3.40
Bet on Levadiakos

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC preview

In the Super League 1 fixture, Levadiakos faces Volos NFC with a 44% probability for a Levadiakos win and a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). The model suggests a solid chance for Over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 61%.

Levadiakos has shown mixed recent form with 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Volos NFC has struggled, recording 6 games without a win. Despite Levadiakos' historical dominance with 4 wins in their last 4 encounters against Volos NFC, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Volos NFC improves their form, it could challenge Levadiakos' chances.

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLevadiakosDrawVolos NFC
Model41%27%33%
Market43%28%29%
Published42%28%30%
Edge-2%-2%+4%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Levadiakos, 48 snapshots since 2026-09-21.

Opened 2.09Now 2.19 +0.10
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Levadiakos2.092.19+0.10
Draw3.253.30+0.05
Volos NFC3.463.22-0.24

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Levadiakos and Volos NFC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.57Levadiakos
1.38Volos NFC
Total expected goals
2.95
Attack rating (Levadiakos / Volos NFC)
0.68 / 1.05
Defence rating (Levadiakos / Volos NFC)
1.18 / 1.60

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.4% 6.1% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 1 7.1% 12.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.7% 2 6.4% 8.9% 6.2% 2.8% 1.3% 3 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.7% 4+ 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4%

Rows: Levadiakos goals. Columns: Volos NFC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 34%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Levadiakos42%2.37
Draw28%3.58
Volos NFC30%3.35
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.77
Under 2.543%2.31
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.65
No40%2.53
Double chance1X (Levadiakos or draw)70%1.43
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or Volos NFC)58%1.73
Handicap -1Levadiakos win by 2+21%4.77
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Levadiakos and Volos NFC recent form

Levadiakos 0W 1D 5L
Volos NFC 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Levadiakos at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 5 matches.

Volos NFC away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Levadiakos at home only, Volos NFC away only.

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Levadiakos 4 · draws 0 · Volos NFC 0.

LevadiakosDrawsVolos NFC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-10Volos NFC0-3LevadiakosSuper League 1
2026-05-03Levadiakos5-2Volos NFCSuper League 1
2026-01-11Levadiakos3-1Volos NFCSuper League 1
2025-11-24Volos NFC1-2LevadiakosSuper League 1

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Levadiakos to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Levadiakos