Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus preview
In the Super League 1 fixture between Panetolikos and Olympiakos Piraeus, the 1X2 probabilities show Olympiakos Piraeus at 65% and Panetolikos at 13%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, which occurs with a 13% probability. Panetolikos has struggled recently, with three losses in their last four matches, while Olympiakos Piraeus has a stronger form with three wins in their last five.
The expected goals indicate Panetolikos at 0.88 and Olympiakos Piraeus at 1.42. While there is a 40% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance for both teams to score, Panetolikos's low expected goals could hinder the likelihood of these outcomes.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus: model vs market
| Source | Panetolikos | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 29% | 49% |
| Market | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| Published | 13% | 22% | 65% |
| Edge | +11% | +10% | -21% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Olympiakos Piraeus, 48 snapshots since 2026-09-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos | 8.32 | 8.69 | +0.37 |
| Draw | 4.47 | 4.80 | +0.33 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.35 | 1.33 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panetolikos and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.30
- Attack rating (Panetolikos / Olympiakos Piraeus)
- 0.93 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Panetolikos / Olympiakos Piraeus)
- 1.24 / 0.65
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 13% | 7.41 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panetolikos or draw) | 35% | 2.83 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Olympiakos Piraeus) | 87% | 1.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos Piraeus win by 2+ | 25% | 4.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panetolikos and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form
Panetolikos
3W 0D 3L
Olympiakos Piraeus
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panetolikos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olympiakos Piraeus away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panetolikos at home only, Olympiakos Piraeus away only.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Panetolikos 0 · draws 0 · Olympiakos Piraeus 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 2-0 | Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Panetolikos | 0-1 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC 2026-10-17
- Kalamata v OFI — match page 2026-10-18
- Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis 2026-10-18
- Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- PAOK v Iraklis 1908 — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Panetolikos, previous: Kifisia vs Panetolikos: odds and pick
- Olympiakos Piraeus, previous: Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus analysis
- Olympiakos Piraeus, next: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction