Kalamata vs OFI preview
Kalamata faces OFI with 38% chances for a home win and 32% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% probability. Kalamata's expected goals stand at 1.29, while OFI's is slightly lower at 1.16.
Both teams to score has a 51% chance, which suggests a competitive match. However, Kalamata's recent form shows only 1 win in their last 6 games, while OFI has won 5 of their last 6. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, making the prediction less certain. The confidence grade is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the analysis.
Kalamata vs OFI: model vs market
| Source | Kalamata | Draw | OFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Published | 37% | 29% | 33% |
| Edge | +8% | -1% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 1.14.
- The market prices Kalamata below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.75, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kalamata vs OFI odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kalamata, 48 snapshots since 2026-09-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata | 2.40 | 2.62 | +0.22 |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.12 | +0.07 |
| OFI | 3.00 | 2.65 | -0.35 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kalamata and OFI expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.59
- Attack rating (Kalamata / OFI)
- 1.18 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Kalamata / OFI)
- 0.89 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kalamata vs OFI score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kalamata goals. Columns: OFI goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kalamata vs OFI goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kalamata vs OFI
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalamata | 37% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| OFI | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kalamata or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or OFI) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalamata win by 2+ | 22% | 4.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kalamata and OFI recent form
Kalamata
2W 3D 1L
OFI
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kalamata at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
OFI away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kalamata at home only, OFI away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Levadiakos vs Volos NFC 2026-10-17
- Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC 2026-10-17
- Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis 2026-10-18
- Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- PAOK v Iraklis 1908 — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Kalamata, previous: PAOK vs Kalamata prediction
- Kalamata, next: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata prediction
- OFI, previous: Rennes vs OFI: odds and pick
- OFI, next: OFI v Bayer Leverkusen analysis