Rennes vs OFI Prediction & Betting Tips 15/10/2026

Rennes vs OFI preview

In the UEFA Europa League fixture between Rennes and OFI, the 1X2 probabilities show Rennes at 62% to win, while OFI sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which occurs with a 7% likelihood. Rennes has an expected goals figure of 1.28 compared to OFI's 1.84, indicating a potentially high-scoring match.

The model suggests a 60% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 62% probability for both teams to score. However, if Rennes struggles to convert their chances or if OFI's defense holds firm, these projections could change. Recent form shows Rennes with a mixed record of L-D-W-W-W-D, while OFI is on a stronger run with D-W-W-W-W-D.

Rennes vs OFI: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Rennes	Draw	OFI
Model	26%	25%	50%
Market	75%	16%	9%
Published	62%	18%	19%
Edge	-49%	+9%	+40%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded 2026-10-10 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Rennes vs OFI odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rennes, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.25Now 1.25 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Rennes	1.25	1.25	+0.00
Draw	5.78	5.78	+0.00
OFI	10.20	10.20	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rennes and OFI expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.28Rennes

1.84OFI

Total expected goals: 3.12
Attack rating (Rennes / OFI): 1.21 / 1.25
Defence rating (Rennes / OFI): 1.29 / 0.68

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rennes vs OFI score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.4% 7.1% 7.5% 4.6% 3.2% 1 4.6% 11.4% 9.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2 3.6% 6.7% 6.1% 3.8% 2.6% 3 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 1.1% 4+ 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5%

Rows: Rennes goals. Columns: OFI goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rennes vs OFI goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 83%

Over 2.5 60%

Over 3.5 38%

Both teams to score: 62%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rennes vs OFI

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Rennes	62%	1.60
	Draw	18%	5.45
	OFI	19%	5.20
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60%	1.66
	Under 2.5	40%	2.52
Both teams to score	Yes	62%	1.62
	No	38%	2.62
Double chance	1X (Rennes or draw)	81%	1.24
	12 (either side)	82%	1.22
	X2 (draw or OFI)	38%	2.66
Handicap -1	Rennes win by 2+	11%	8.96
	Push (exactly one goal)	14%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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