Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht preview
In the UEFA Europa League fixture, Dinamo Zagreb has a 42% chance to win against Anderlecht, who have a 30% chance, with a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Dinamo Zagreb, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.53 compared to Anderlecht's 1.27.
Both teams to score stands at 58%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 53%. This suggests a game that could see multiple goals, but if either team struggles to convert chances, these predictions may not hold. Recent form shows Dinamo Zagreb with mixed results, while Anderlecht has been slightly more consistent, which could influence the match outcome.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: model vs market
| Source | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Published | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Edge | -6% | +1% | +5% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dinamo Zagreb, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-09.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 1.90 | 1.97 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.58 | -0.02 |
| Anderlecht | 3.88 | 3.66 | -0.22 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (Dinamo Zagreb / Anderlecht)
- 1.36 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Dinamo Zagreb / Anderlecht)
- 1.02 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dinamo Zagreb goals. Columns: Anderlecht goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Anderlecht | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| No | 42% | 2.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dinamo Zagreb or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Anderlecht) | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win by 2+ | 22% | 4.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht recent form
Dinamo Zagreb
2W 2D 2L
Anderlecht
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Anderlecht away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dinamo Zagreb at home only, Anderlecht away only.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Bournemouth v Sturm Graz — match page 2026-10-15
- Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Rennes v OFI — match page 2026-10-15
- Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş — match page 2026-10-15
- Benfica v Celtic — match page 2026-10-15
- Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia 2026-10-15
- NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia — match page 2026-10-15
- Celta Vigo v Juventus — match page 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- Dinamo Zagreb, previous: HNK Hajduk Split v Dinamo Zagreb analysis
- Anderlecht, previous: Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht: odds and pick