Cobán Imperial vs Marquense preview
In the upcoming match between Cobán Imperial and Marquense, the 1X2 probabilities show Cobán Imperial at 49%, while Marquense is at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 11% chance. Cobán Imperial has an expected goals figure of 1.54 compared to Marquense's 0.99, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, Cobán Imperial's recent form includes 2 wins in their last 5 matches, which could affect their consistency. Marquense has a better recent record with 3 wins in their last 5 games. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 51%, suggesting the possibility of goals from both sides, which could challenge the predicted outcome.
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense: model vs market
| Source | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Marquense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.99.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cobán Imperial, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cobán Imperial | 1.73 | 1.55 | -0.18 |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.85 | +0.50 |
| Marquense | 4.15 | 5.25 | +1.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cobán Imperial and Marquense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.54
- Attack rating (Cobán Imperial / Marquense)
- 1.07 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Cobán Imperial / Marquense)
- 1.21 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cobán Imperial goals. Columns: Marquense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cobán Imperial vs Marquense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 56% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Marquense | 19% | 5.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.98 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cobán Imperial or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Marquense) | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cobán Imperial win by 2+ | 26% | 3.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cobán Imperial and Marquense recent form
Cobán Imperial
3W 1D 2L
Marquense
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cobán Imperial at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
Marquense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Cobán Imperial at home only, Marquense away only.
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Cobán Imperial 4 · draws 2 · Marquense 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Marquense | 2-1 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-19 | Marquense | 3-1 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-01-27 | Cobán Imperial | 2-0 | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-10-19 | Cobán Imperial | 3-0 | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-11 | Marquense | 1-0 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-03-22 | Cobán Imperial | 3-0 | Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-02-07 | Marquense | 2-0 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-09-07 | Marquense | 0-1 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2018-03-12 | Marquense | 0-0 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2018-01-14 | Cobán Imperial | 1-1 | Marquense | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Xelajú vs Municipal — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC 2026-10-25
- Guastatoya v Mixco — match page 2026-10-25
- Deportivo San Pedro vs Malacateco 2026-10-25
- Suchitepéquez v Aurora — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Cobán Imperial, previous: Mixco vs Cobán Imperial: odds and pick
- Cobán Imperial, next: Cobán Imperial – Suchitepéquez, 2026-10-28
- Marquense, previous: Marquense v Suchitepéquez analysis
- Marquense, next: Marquense v Guastatoya analysis